Wynn's Ranking - Oregon High School Football

Wynn's Ranking
2005 Oregon High School Football Standings

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9/23/2005

Games of the Week

Tigard
at Barlow
Football Field

Sheldon
at South Eugene
School

Past Weeks
Sep 9
Sep 16
Sep 23

Playoffs

Past
2004

If you've been watching Wynn's Ranking, you already knew Jesuit was in the top ten...

Not everyone thought Lake Oswego would beat West Linn. They didn't know about that front line D...

Obviously Jesuit is still top ten stuff, but guess who the new number one is...

Last year in week three, Wynn's Ranking only hit 7 of 13 predictions. Look how this year turned out...

You can see above where the best games of the week are. See below for the reason why....

Everyone makes rankings, polls, and predictions. But there's only one tally like this...

9/30/2005 - Just a quick note after the game...

I enjoyed High School football long before I began calculating the ranking. My big reward is finding out which games might turn out to be as great of a match up as Barlow vs Tigard turned out to be... and I got to see it!

If a cannon ball had legs, it would look like Tigard's Dan Farrimond, as he rips through masses of bodies. But the talents of Tigard weren't enough to stop the talents of Barlow as they marched behind running back Zac Meyer to a final score of Barlow 20, Tigard 18. I'll write more by Monday.

It was a fun night, partly because I watched the Barlow-Tigard game. But it was a fun night because there were so many close games between good teams. With point spreads like this, truly anything could happen.

Weekly Summary - 9/23

Let the Webmaster whine. We made our web banner orange and black to honor Roseburg's climb to the number one spot on Wynn's Ranking.

This week we discover that Jesuit and Roseburg deserve more credit than they've been getting. If you've been watching Wynn's Ranking, you already knew Jesuit was in the top ten. They're ranked at number three for the third week in a row. Now the other polls might finally catch up, so remember, you saw it here first.

Roseburg was also in the top ten on Wynn's Ranking. Their victory over Eagle Point by 20 points above expectation shoots them to number one.

Five other teams made notable jumps on Wynn's Ranking. Tualatin advanced six places to reach number seven. Pendleton deserves extra attention. They ended last year ranked 59th. After three weeks of outstanding performance this year, they've climbed 45 places to 14th. Grants Pass climbed twelve places on Wynn's Ranking when they beat Canby in a game Canby was expected to win. Silverton climbed fifteen places. Wilson is the biggest over-achiever, climbing sixteen places this week.

In week three, Wynn's Ranking hit 16 of 21 predictions. Eight of 21 predictions were within 7 points.

Beginning this week, we shift the way we calculate. In week one and two, it's necessary to use last year's rank as a control to keep big point spreads from contaminating this year's rank. This method works because we can look backward each week to calculate how much of last year's influence would have given us the most accurate prediction. But now we have enough data to use the feedback loop as protection against point spread contamination. As you can see, the rank didn't change much. Nevertheless, this early in the season, big point spreads will inject an undue influence on the rank.

As always, the ranking is based on earned calculations. It does not reflect the opinion of anyone.

I Was There - West Linn at Lake Oswego

Lake Oswego beat West Linn, 40-21. The first score came less than two minutes into the game when LO #7, Matt Stutes intercepted and ran back for the score. Seconds later, #10, Brendan Pitts returned the kick for a touch down for West Linn. The half ended LO 21, WL 14.

West Linn's Brendan Pitts is a talent. As running back, kick returner, and occasional receiver, he scored all three of West Linn's touchdowns. He seems untouchable in the open field. He also wins top prize for the greatest leap in a prep football game. He leaped over the front lines so high and so far, he landed half-way in the end-zone without being touched.

LO has a great defensive line. Ryan Shepard, DE, deserves a big kudos for chasing West Linn Quarterback Nick Kalantari all night long. Kalantari never had more than a fleeting moment to make something happen. Clearly Kalantari deserves kudos too as he received one shot after another while avoiding the sack. Play after play, he picked himself up off the field to prepare for the next play. West Linn executed amazingly well to keep the ball moving down field while facing such defensive pressure.

LO looked much better than I expected considering the reports I heard from last week. They gotta lotta weapons. Matt Stutes, Will Darkins, Christian Dunham, Kyle Lavendar all scored touch downs. #99, Gabe Miller was never far from the action.

OSAA - 2005 Brackets - Schools
High School Addresses
Oregon City HS - Athletics - Football Schedule
Yahoo's Oregon High School List
PGE Park
Oregon Sports Authority - HS Athletics

Media
Oregonlive.com - Prep Football - Chat
KATU Sports Extra
KFXX 1080 The Fan
KUIK 1360 Westside
Oregon Magazine - Sports
MaxPreps - Oregon - OR HS
http://www.nw-sports.com
iHigh.com - OR HS
OregonPreps.com (rivals.com) - Ducks - Beavers
Scout.com - eDuck - Beaver
NFL High School

Personal
Wynn's Ranking
Gary Haliski's MWLNow
SOCToday.com - Football
http://www.beasport.com/ (SOC Sports)
MetroLeague.org - Football
WestLinnFootball.org
2A Statesmen
HilHi Youth Football
Willamette Valley Pop Warner
Rogue Valley Pop Warner
OregonSportsScores.org
OregonPrepSports.net

ProMax Events
NW Football
Oregon Football League

Oregon City
Computer Help
Ceremony Dove

Team Ranking - 9/23/2005

9/23 Rank	Team	Conf	9/16 Rank	OL	AP
1	Roseburg Indians	SOC	7	8	9
2	Lake Oswego Lakers	TRL	1	7	5
3	Jesuit Crusaders	Met	3	12	12
4	Clackamas Cavaliers	TRL	6	2	2
5	Barlow Bruins	MHC	5	4	6
6	Tigard Tigers	Pac9	4	11	10
7	Tualatin Timberwolves	Pac9	13	3	3
8	Sprague Olympians	Val	2	1	1
9	Beaverton Beavers	Met	8	9	8
10	Sheldon Irish	MWL	11
11	Westview Wildcats	Met	12		16
12	South Eugene Axemen	MWL	9		13
13	Southridge Skyhawks	Met	10	5	7
14	Pendleton Buckaroos	IMC	26	13	15
15	South Medford Panthers	SOC	14
16	Lakeridge Pacers	TRL	22
17	Marshfield Pirates	MWL	16
18	Lincoln Cardinals	PIL	19	10	10
19	Central Catholic Rams	MHC	20
20	North Medford Black Tornado	SOC	18
21	Eagle Point Eagles	SOC	17
22	Reynolds Raiders	MHC	28
23	West Linn Lions	TRL	24
24	Grant Generals	PIL	15
25	Thurston Colts	MWL	23
26	Ashland Grizzlies	SOC	32		14
27	McMinnville Grizzlies	Pac9	29
28	McNary Celtics	Val	25	6	4
29	Grants Pass Cavemen	SOC	41
30	West Albany Bulldogs	Val	21
31	Redmond Panthers	IMC	31
32	South Salem Saxons	Val	35
33	Silverton Foxes	Pac9	48
34	Sandy Pioneers	MHC	39
35	Hermiston Bulldogs	IMC	43
36	West Salem Titans	Val	49
37	Crater Comets	SOC	51
38	Milwaukie Mustangs	TRL	33
39	Churchill Lancers	MWL	53
40	Corvallis Spartans	Val	30
41	North Salem Vikings	Val	34
42	North Eugene Highlanders	MWL	47
43	Willamette High Wolverines	MWL	38
44	Springfield Millers	MWL	45
45	Sunset Apollos	Met	37
46	Bend Lava Bears	IMC	42
47	Canby Cougars	Pac9	27
48	Lebanon Warriors	MWL	56
49	Newberg Tigers	Pac9	36
50	Hood River Valley Eagles	IMC	46
51	Gresham Gophers	MHC	52
52	Putnam Kingsmen	TRL	40
53	Wilson Trojans	PIL	69
54	Summit Storm	IMC	50
55	McKay Royal Scots	Val	44
56	Forest Grove Vikings	Pac9	55
57	Aloha Warriors	Met	61
58	Jefferson Democrats	PIL	58
59	Benson Techmen	PIL	71
60	Centennial Eagles	MHC	54
61	Glencoe Crimson Tide	Met	62
62	David Douglas Scots	MHC	57
63	St. Helens Lions	TRL	68
64	Franklin Quakers	PIL	66
65	Roosevelt Roughriders	PIL	73
66	Oregon City Pioneers	TRL	64
67	Mountain View Cougars	IMC	67
68	South Albany Rebels	Val	65
69	Hillsboro Spartans	Met	60
70	Madison Senators	PIL	59
71	Crescent Valley Raiders	Val	63
72	Century Jaguars	Met	70
73	Marshall Minutemen	PIL	74
74	Liberty Falcons	Met	76
75	Cleveland Warriors	PIL	72
76	The Dalles-Wahtonka Eagle Indians	IMC	78
77	Dallas Dragons	Pac9	75
78	Woodburn Bulldogs	Pac9	77
79	Crook County Cowboys	IMC	79
80	Parkrose Broncos	MHC	80
81	Klamath Union Pelicans	SOC	81

Predictions - 9/30/2005

9/23 Rank	Team	Conf	Next Opponent	9/30 Expectation	Robertson	Sherman
1	Roseburg Indians	SOC	Ashland Grizzlies	Roseburg by 24	Roseburg by 11	Roseburg by 8
2	Lake Oswego Lakers	TRL	Lakeridge Pacers	Lake Oswego by 19	Lake Oswego by 28	Lake Oswego by 14
3	Jesuit Crusaders	Met	Century Jaguars	Jesuit by 54
4	Clackamas Cavaliers	TRL	Oregon City Pioneers	Clackamas by 51
5	Barlow Bruins	MHC	Tigard Tigers	Tigard by 1	Tigard by 28	Tigard by 7
7	Tualatin Timberwolves	Pac9	McMinnville Grizzlies	Tualatin by 20	Tualatin by 32	Tualatin by 10
8	Sprague Olympians	Val	North Salem Vikings	Sprague by 27
9	Beaverton Beavers	Met	Aloha Warriors	Beaverton by 38
10	Sheldon Irish	MWL	South Eugene Axemen	South Eugene by 1	Sheldon by 11	Sheldon by 6
11	Westview Wildcats	Met	Glencoe Crimson	Westview by 34
13	Southridge Skyhawks	Met	Liberty Falcons	Southridge by 52
14	Pendleton Buckaroos	IMC	Crook County Cowboys	Pendleton by 61
17	Marshfield Pirates	MWL	North Bend Bulldogs	Marshfield by 22
18	Lincoln Cardinals	PIL	Roosevelt Roughriders	Lincoln by 32	Lincoln by 9	Lincoln by 10
19	Central Catholic Rams	MHC	Reynolds Raiders	Central Catholic 6
20	North Medford Black Tornado	SOC	Crater Comets	North Medford by 7	Crater by 11	North Medford by 2
21	Eagle Point Eagles	SOC	Grants Pass Cavemen	Eagle Point by 9
23	West Linn Lions	TRL	St. Helens Lions	West Linn by 29
24	Grant Generals	PIL	Benson Techmen	Grant by 27
25	Thurston Colts	MWL	North Eugene Highlanders	Thurston by 5
28	McNary Celtics	Val	West Albany Bulldogs	West Albany by 5	McNary by 1	McNary by 2
31	Redmond Panthers	IMC	Hood River Valley Eagles	Redmond by 15	Redmond by 8	Redmond by 8
32	South Salem Saxons	Val	Crescent Valley Raiders	South Salem by 19
33	Silverton Foxes	Pac9
34	Sandy Pioneers	MHC
35	Hermiston Bulldogs	IMC
36	West Salem Titans	Val
37	Crater Comets	SOC
38	Milwaukie Mustangs	TRL	Putnam Kingsmen	Milwaukie by 10
39	Churchill Lancers	MWL
40	Corvallis Spartans	Val
41	North Salem Vikings	Val
42	North Eugene Highlanders	MWL
43	Willamette High Wolverines	MWL	Glencoe Crimson	Willamette by 15
44	Springfield Millers	MWL
45	Sunset Apollos	Met
46	Bend Lava Bears	IMC
48	Lebanon Warriors	MWL
49	Newberg Tigers	Pac9
50	Hood River Valley Eagles	IMC
51	Gresham Gophers	MHC	David Douglas Scots	Gresham by 15
53	Wilson Trojans	PIL
54	Summit Storm	IMC
55	McKay Royal Scots	Val
56	Forest Grove Vikings	Pac9
57	Aloha Warriors	Met
58	Jefferson Democrats	PIL
59	Benson Techmen	PIL
60	Centennial Eagles	MHC
61	Glencoe Crimson Tide	Met
62	David Douglas Scots	MHC
64	Franklin Quakers	PIL
65	Roosevelt Roughriders	PIL
67	Mountain View Cougars	IMC
68	South Albany Rebels	Val
69	Hillsboro Spartans	Met
70	Madison Senators	PIL
71	Crescent Valley Raiders	Val
72	Century Jaguars	Met
73	Marshall Minutemen	PIL
74	Liberty Falcons	Met
75	Cleveland Warriors	PIL
76	The Dalles-Wahtonka Eagle Indians	IMC
77	Dallas Dragons	Pac9	Woodburn Bulldogs	Dallas by 1	Dallas by 6	Dallas by 8
79	Crook County Cowboys	IMC
80	Parkrose Broncos	MHC
81	Klamath Union Pelicans	SOC

Results - 9/23/2005

9/16 Rank	Team	Conf	9/9 Rank	OL	AP	Next Opponent	Wynn	Sherman	Robertson	Swygard	9/23 Result	Best
1	Lake Oswego Lakers	TRL	2	9	8	West Linn Lions	Lake Oswego by 24	Lake Oswego by 5	Lake Oswego by 7	West Linn by 7	Lake Oswego by 19	Wynn
2	Sprague Olympians	Val	1	1	1	West Salem Titans	Sprague by 36				Sprague by 16
3	Jesuit Crusaders	Met	3			Beaverton Beavers	Jesuit by 3	Beaverton by 3	Beaverton by 22	Beaverton by 35	Jesuit by 7	Wynn
4	Tigard Tigers	Pac9	12	10	5	Tualatin Timberwolves	Tigard by 9	Tigard by 7	Tualatin by 4	Tigard by 4	Tualatin by 7	Robertson
5	Barlow Bruins	MHC	6	5	7	Central Catholic Rams	Barlow by 14	Barlow by 8	Barlow by 4	Barlow by 29	Barlow by 12	Wynn
6	Clackamas Cavaliers	TRL	9	2	3	Milwaukie Mustangs	Clackamas by 25				Clackamas by 28
7	Roseburg Indians	SOC	7	8	12	Eagle Point Eagles	Roseburg by 11	Roseburg by 12	Roseburg by 13		Roseburg by 36	Robertson
8	Beaverton Beavers	Met	4	2	2	Jesuit Crusaders	-
9	South Eugene Axemen	MWL	5		11	Churchill Lancers	South Eugene by 36	South Eugene by 18	South Eugene by 8		South Eugene by 2	Robertson
10	Southridge Skyhawks	Met	11	7	8	Aloha Warriors	Southridge by 40				Southridge by 27
11	Sheldon Irish	MWL	8		13	Thurston Colts	Sheldon by 13				Sheldon by 17
12	Westview Wildcats	Met	10		13	Sunset Apollos	Westview by 22	Westview by 9	Westview by 21		Westview by 26	Wynn
13	Tualatin Timberwolves	Pac9	20	4	4	Tigard Tigers	-
14	South Medford Panthers	SOC	14			Crater Comets	South Medford by 24				South Medford by 7
15	Grant Generals	PIL	13			Wilson Trojans	Grant by 40			Grant by 11	Wilson by 1	Swygard
16	Marshfield Pirates	MWL	15			Lebanon Warriors	Marshfield by 31				Marshfield by 8
17	Eagle Point Eagles	SOC	18			Roseburg Indians	-
18	North Medford Black Tornado	SOC	17			Ashland Grizzlies	North Medford by 12				Ashland by 4
19	Lincoln Cardinals	PIL	16	11	10	Jefferson Democrats	Lincoln by 29				Lincoln by 32
20	Central Catholic Rams	MHC	19			Barlow Bruins	-
22	Lakeridge Pacers	TRL	24			Putnam Kingsmen	Lakeridge by 11				Lakeridge by 33
24	West Linn Lions	TRL	22			Lake Oswego Lakers	-
25	McNary Celtics	Val	26	6	6	McKay Royal Scots	McNary by 13	McNary by 13	McNary by 18		McNary by 19	Robertson
27	Canby Cougars	Pac9	31			Grants Pass Cavemen	Canby by 8				Grants Pass by 33
33	Milwaukie Mustangs	TRL	36			Clackamas Cavaliers	-
40	Putnam Kingsmen	TRL	41			Lakeridge Pacers	-
52	Gresham	MHC	51			Centennial Eagles	Gresham by 4	Gresham by 22	Centennial by 7