Wynn's Ranking - 9/23/2005
2005 Oregon High School Football Standings
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9/23/2005

Games of the Week

Tigard
at Barlow
Football Field		 Sheldon
at South Eugene
 School
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If you've been watching Wynn's Ranking, you already knew Jesuit was in the top ten...
Not everyone thought Lake Oswego would beat West Linn.  They didn't know about that front line D...
Obviously Jesuit is still top ten stuff, but guess who the new number one is...
Last year in week three, Wynn's Ranking only hit 7 of 13 predictions.  Look how this year turned out...
You can see above where the best games of the week are.  See below for the reason why....
Everyone makes rankings, polls, and predictions.  But there's only one tally like this...

Weekly Summary

Let the Webmaster whine.  We made our web banner orange and black to honor Roseburg's climb to the number one spot on Wynn's Ranking. 

This week we discover that Jesuit and Roseburg deserve more credit than they've been getting.   If you've been watching Wynn's Ranking, you already knew Jesuit was in the top ten.  They're ranked at number three for the third week in a row.  Now the other polls might finally catch up, so remember, you saw it here first. 

Roseburg was already in the top ten, but their victory over Eagle Point, 20 points above expectation, shoots them six points higher on the rank to become number one.

Five other teams made notable jumps on Wynn's Ranking.  Tualatin advanced six places to reach number seven.  Pendleton deserves extra attention.  They ended last year ranked 59th.  After three weeks of outstanding performance this year, they've climbed 45 places to 14th.    Grants Pass beat Canby in a game they were expected to lose and climbed twelve places on Wynn's Ranking.  Silverton climbed fifteen places.  Wilson is the biggest over-achiever, climbing sixteen places this week.

In week three, Wynn's Ranking hit 16 of 21 predictions.  Eight of 21 predictions were within 7 points. 

We shifted the way we calculate.  In week one and two, it's necessary to use last year's rank as a control to keep big point spreads from contaminating this year's rank.  This method works because we can look backward each week to calculate how much of last year's influence would have given us the most accurate predictions.  But now we have enough data to use the feedback loop as protection against point spread contamination.  As you can see, the rank didn't change much.  Nevertheless, this early in the season, big point spreads will inject an undue influence on the rank.

As always, the ranking is based on earned calculations.  It does not reflect the opinion of anyone.

I Was There - West Linn at Lake Oswego

Lake Oswego beat West Linn, 40-21.  The first score came less than two minutes into the game when LO #7, Matt Stutes intercepted and ran back for the score.  Seconds later, #10, Brendan Pitts returned the kick for a touch down for West Linn.  The half ended LO 21, WL 14.

West Linn's Brendan Pitts is a talent.  As running back, kick returner, and occasional receiver, he scored all three of West Linn's touchdowns.  He seems untouchable in the open field.  He also wins top prize for the greatest leap in a prep football game.  He leaped over the front lines so high and so far, he landed half-way in the end-zone without being touched. 

LO has a great defensive line.  Ryan Shepard, DE, deserves a big kudos for chasing West Linn Quarterback Nick Kalantari all night long.  Kalantari never had more than a fleeting moment to make something happen.  Clearly Kalantari deserves kudos too as he received one shot after another while avoiding the sack.  Play after play, he picked himself up off the field to prepare for the next play.  West Linn executed amazingly well to keep the ball moving down field while facing such defensive pressure.

LO looked much better than I expected considering the reports I heard from last week.  They gotta lotta weapons.  Matt Stutes, Will Darkins, Christian Dunham, Kyle Lavendar all scored touch downs.  #99, Gabe Miller was never far from the action. 

Related

OSAA - Brackets - Schools
High School Addresses
Oregon City HS - Athletics - Football Schedule
Yahoo's Oregon High School List
PGE Park
Oregon Sports Authority - HS Athletics

Media
Oregonlive.com - Prep Football - Chat
KATU Sports Extra
KFXX 1080 The Fan
KUIK 1360 Westside
Oregon Magazine - Sports
MaxPreps - Oregon - OR HS
http://www.nw-sports.com
iHigh.com - OR HS
OregonPreps.com (rivals.com) - Ducks - Beavers
Scout.com - eDuck  - Beaver

Personal
Wynn's Ranking
Gary Haliski's MWLNow
SOCToday.com - Football
http://www.beasport.com/ (SOC Sports)
MetroLeague.org - Football
WestLinnFootball.org
2A Statesmen
HilHi Youth Football
OregonSportsScores.org
OregonPrepSports.net

ProMax Events
NW Football
Oregon Football League

oregoncity.com
nwhelp.com
 ceremonydove.com

 


 

Team Ranking - 9/23/2005
9/23 Rank Team Conf 9/16 Rank OL AP
1 Roseburg Indians SOC 7    
2 Lake Oswego Lakers TRL 1    
3 Jesuit Crusaders Met 3    
4 Clackamas Cavaliers TRL 6    
5 Barlow Bruins MHC 5    
6 Tigard Tigers Pac9 4    
7 Tualatin Timberwolves Pac9 13    
8 Sprague Olympians Val 2    
9 Beaverton Beavers Met 8    
10 Sheldon Irish MWL 11    
11 Westview Wildcats Met 12    
12 South Eugene Axemen MWL 9    
13 Southridge Skyhawks Met 10    
14 Pendleton Buckaroos IMC 26    
15 South Medford Panthers SOC 14    
16 Lakeridge Pacers TRL 22    
17 Marshfield Pirates MWL 16    
18 Lincoln Cardinals PIL 19    
19 Central Catholic Rams MHC 20    
20 North Medford Black Tornado SOC 18    
21 Eagle Point Eagles SOC 17    
22 Reynolds Raiders MHC 28    
23 West Linn Lions TRL 24    
24 Grant Generals PIL 15    
25 Thurston Colts MWL 23    
26 Ashland Grizzlies SOC 32    
27 McMinnville Grizzlies Pac9 29    
28 McNary Celtics Val 25    
29 Grants Pass Cavemen SOC 41    
30 West Albany Bulldogs Val 21    
31 Redmond Panthers IMC 31    
32 South Salem Saxons Val 35    
33 Silverton Foxes Pac9 48    
34 Sandy Pioneers MHC 39    
35 Hermiston Bulldogs IMC 43    
36 West Salem Titans Val 49    
37 Crater Comets SOC 51    
38 Milwaukie Mustangs TRL 33    
39 Churchill Lancers MWL 53    
40 Corvallis Spartans Val 30    
41 North Salem Vikings Val 34    
42 North Eugene Highlanders MWL 47    
43 Willamette High Wolverines MWL 38    
44 Springfield Millers MWL 45    
45 Sunset Apollos Met 37    
46 Bend Lava Bears IMC 42    
47 Canby Cougars Pac9 27    
48 Lebanon Warriors MWL 56    
49 Newberg Tigers Pac9 36    
50 Hood River Valley Eagles IMC 46    
51 Gresham Gophers MHC 52    
52 Putnam Kingsmen TRL 40    
53 Wilson Trojans PIL 69    
54 Summit Storm IMC 50    
55 McKay Royal Scots Val 44    
56 Forest Grove Vikings Pac9 55    
57 Aloha Warriors Met 61    
58 Jefferson Democrats PIL 58    
59 Benson Techmen PIL 71    
60 Centennial Eagles MHC 54    
61 Glencoe Crimson Tide Met 62    
62 David Douglas Scots MHC 57    
63 St. Helens Lions TRL 68    
64 Franklin Quakers PIL 66    
65 Roosevelt Roughriders PIL 73    
66 Oregon City Pioneers TRL 64    
67 Mountain View Cougars IMC 67    
68 South Albany Rebels Val 65    
69 Hillsboro Spartans Met 60    
70 Madison Senators PIL 59    
71 Crescent Valley Raiders Val 63    
72 Century Jaguars Met 70    
73 Marshall Minutemen PIL 74    
74 Liberty Falcons Met 76    
75 Cleveland Warriors PIL 72    
76 The Dalles-Wahtonka Eagle Indians IMC 78    
77 Dallas Dragons Pac9 75    
78 Woodburn Bulldogs Pac9 77    
79 Crook County Cowboys IMC 79    
80 Parkrose Broncos MHC 80    
81 Klamath Union Pelicans SOC 81    

 

Predictions - 9/30/2005
9/23 Rank Team Conf Next Opponent 9/30 Expectation Robertson Sherman Swygard Result Best
1 Roseburg Indians SOC Ashland Grizzlies Roseburg by 28  
2 Lake Oswego Lakers TRL Lakeridge Pacers Lake Oswego by 16  
3 Jesuit Crusaders Met Century Jaguars Jesuit by 56  
4 Clackamas Cavaliers TRL Oregon City Pioneers Clackamas by 49  
5 Barlow Bruins MHC Tigard Tigers Barlow by 1  
7 Tualatin Timberwolves Pac9 McMinnville Grizzlies Tualatin by 20  
8 Sprague Olympians Val North Salem Vikings Sprague by 26  
9 Beaverton Beavers Met Aloha Warriors Beaverton by 38  
10 Sheldon Irish MWL South Eugene Axemen Sheldon by 2  
11 Westview Wildcats Met Glencoe Crimson Westview by 39  
13 Southridge Skyhawks Met Liberty Falcons Southridge by 51  
14 Pendleton Buckaroos IMC Crook County Cowboys Pendleton by 58  
17 Marshfield Pirates MWL North Bend Bulldogs Marshfield by 19  
18 Lincoln Cardinals PIL Roosevelt Roughriders Lincoln by 35  
19 Central Catholic Rams MHC Reynolds Raiders Central Catholic 5  
20 North Medford Black Tornado SOC Crater Comets North Medford by 10  
21 Eagle Point Eagles SOC Grants Pass Cavemen Eagle Point by 6  
23 West Linn Lions TRL St. Helens Lions West Linn by 28  
24 Grant Generals PIL Benson Techmen Grant by 25  
25 Thurston Colts MWL North Eugene Highlanders Thurston by 9  
28 McNary Celtics Val West Albany Bulldogs McNary by 1  
31 Redmond Panthers IMC    
32 South Salem Saxons Val Crescent Valley Raiders South Salem by 30  
33 Silverton Foxes Pac9    
34 Sandy Pioneers MHC    
35 Hermiston Bulldogs IMC    
36 West Salem Titans Val    
37 Crater Comets SOC    
38 Milwaukie Mustangs TRL Putnam Kingsmen Milwaukie by 7  
39 Churchill Lancers MWL    
40 Corvallis Spartans Val    
41 North Salem Vikings Val    
42 North Eugene Highlanders MWL    
43 Willamette High Wolverines MWL Glencoe Crimson Willamette by 15  
44 Springfield Millers MWL    
45 Sunset Apollos Met    
46 Bend Lava Bears IMC    
48 Lebanon Warriors MWL    
49 Newberg Tigers Pac9    
50 Hood River Valley Eagles IMC    
51 Gresham Gophers MHC David Douglas Scots Gresham by 10  
53 Wilson Trojans PIL    
54 Summit Storm IMC    
55 McKay Royal Scots Val    
56 Forest Grove Vikings Pac9    
57 Aloha Warriors Met    
58 Jefferson Democrats PIL    
59 Benson Techmen PIL    
60 Centennial Eagles MHC    
61 Glencoe Crimson Tide Met    
62 David Douglas Scots MHC    
64 Franklin Quakers PIL    
65 Roosevelt Roughriders PIL    
67 Mountain View Cougars IMC    
68 South Albany Rebels Val    
69 Hillsboro Spartans Met    
70 Madison Senators PIL    
71 Crescent Valley Raiders Val    
72 Century Jaguars Met    
73 Marshall Minutemen PIL    
74 Liberty Falcons Met    
75 Cleveland Warriors PIL    
76 The Dalles-Wahtonka Eagle Indians IMC    
77 Dallas Dragons Pac9    
78 Woodburn Bulldogs Pac9    
79 Crook County Cowboys IMC    
80 Parkrose Broncos MHC    
81 Klamath Union Pelicans SOC    


Results - 9/23/2005
9/16 Rank Team Conf 9/9 Rank OL AP Next Opponent Wynn Sherman Robertson Swygard   9/23 Result Best

1

 Lake Oswego Lakers TRL

2

 9 8 West Linn Lions Lake Oswego by 24 Lake Oswego by 5 Lake Oswego by 7 West Linn by 7   Lake Oswego by 19 Wynn

2

 Sprague Olympians Val

1

 1 1 West Salem Titans Sprague by 36     Sprague by 16

3

 Jesuit Crusaders Met

3

     Beaverton Beavers Jesuit by 3 Beaverton by 3 Beaverton by 22 Beaverton by 35   Jesuit by 7 Wynn

4

 Tigard Tigers Pac9

12

 10 5 Tualatin Timberwolves Tigard by 9 Tigard by 7 Tualatin by 4 Tigard by 4   Tualatin by 7 Robertson

5

 Barlow Bruins MHC

6

 5 7 Central Catholic Rams Barlow by 14 Barlow by 8 Barlow by 4 Barlow by 29   Barlow by 12 Wynn

6

 Clackamas Cavaliers TRL

9

 2 3 Milwaukie Mustangs Clackamas by 25     Clackamas by 28

7

 Roseburg Indians SOC

7

 8 12 Eagle Point Eagles Roseburg by 11 Roseburg by 12 Roseburg by 13     Roseburg by 36 Robertson

8

 Beaverton Beavers Met

4

 2 2 Jesuit Crusaders

-

    

9

 South Eugene Axemen MWL

5

   11 Churchill Lancers South Eugene by 36 South Eugene by 18 South Eugene by 8     South Eugene by 2 Robertson

10

 Southridge Skyhawks Met

11

 7 8 Aloha Warriors Southridge by 40     Southridge by 27

11

 Sheldon Irish MWL

8

   13 Thurston Colts Sheldon by 13     Sheldon by 17

12

 Westview Wildcats Met

10

   13 Sunset Apollos Westview by 22 Westview by 9 Westview by 21     Westview by 26 Wynn

13

 Tualatin Timberwolves Pac9

20

 4 4 Tigard Tigers

-

    

14

 South Medford Panthers SOC

14

     Crater Comets South Medford by 24     South Medford by 7

15

 Grant Generals PIL

13

     Wilson Trojans Grant by 40 Grant by 11   Wilson by 1 Swygard

16

 Marshfield Pirates MWL

15

     Lebanon Warriors Marshfield by 31     Marshfield by 8

17

 Eagle Point Eagles SOC

18

     Roseburg Indians

-

    

18

 North Medford Black Tornado SOC

17

     Ashland Grizzlies North Medford by 12     Ashland by 4

19

 Lincoln Cardinals PIL

16

 11 10 Jefferson Democrats Lincoln by 29     Lincoln by 32

20

 Central Catholic Rams MHC

19

     Barlow Bruins

-

    

22

 Lakeridge Pacers TRL

24

     Putnam Kingsmen Lakeridge by 11     Lakeridge by 33

24

 West Linn Lions TRL

22

     Lake Oswego Lakers

-

    
25 McNary Celtics Val 26 6 6 McKay Royal Scots McNary by 13 McNary by 13 McNary by 18     McNary by 19 Robertson

27

 Canby Cougars Pac9

31

     Grants Pass Cavemen Canby by 8     Grants Pass by 33

33

 Milwaukie Mustangs TRL

36

     Clackamas Cavaliers

-

    

40

 Putnam Kingsmen TRL

41

     Lakeridge Pacers

-

    
52 Gresham MHC 51     Centennial Eagles Gresham by 4 Gresham by 22 Centennial by 7     Gresham by 15 Sherman

64

 Oregon City Pioneers TRL

67

     St. Helens Lions Oregon City by 3     St. Helens by 7

68

 St. Helens Lions TRL

68

     Oregon City Pioneers

-

    
                7 - 2 7 - 2 1 - 4   16 - 5

8 games predicted within 7 points		 Wynn 4
Robertson 4
Sherman 1
Swygard 1


Tally
 
Win-Loss Accuracy
  Prev Week 3 Week 4 Week 5 Week 6 Week 7 Week 8 Week 9 Round 1 Round 2 Quarter Semi Final Total
Wynn 14-1 16-5